Knaph

Regression to the mean

Where luck plays a part, an unusually high or low result is usually followed by one closer to the average, just by chance (Galton, 1886). It makes us credit or blame whatever happened in between, like praise or telling off.

Depth 1 · Foundation

You can explain, as skill plus luck, why the unusual is usually followed by the more ordinary, and ask whether a change would have happened anyway.

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